Risk Factors for Infectious Complications following Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography in Liver Transplant Patients: A Single-Center Study.

Background: Liver transplant recipients often require endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) for biliary complications, which can lead to infections. This retrospective single-center study aimed to identify risk factors for infectious complications following ERCP in liver transplant patients. Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted on 285 elective ERCP interventions performed in 88 liver transplant patients at a tertiary care center. The primary endpoint was the occurrence of an infection following ERCP. Univariable and multivariable regression analyses, Cox regression, and log-rank tests were employed to assess the influence of various factors on the incidence of infectious complications. Results: Among the 285 ERCP interventions, isolated anastomotic stenosis was found in 175 cases, ischemic type biliary lesion (ITBL) in 103 cases, and choledocholithiasis in seven cases. Bile duct interventions were performed in 96.9% of all ERCPs. Infections after ERCP occurred in 46 cases (16.1%). Independent risk factors for infection included male sex (OR 24.19), prednisolone therapy (OR 4.5), ITBL (OR 4.51), sphincterotomy (OR 2.44), cholangioscopy (OR 3.22), dilatation therapy of the bile ducts (OR 9.48), and delayed prophylactic antibiotic therapy (>1 h after ERCP) (OR 2.93). Additionally, infections following previous ERCP interventions were associated with an increased incidence of infections following future ERCP interventions (p < 0.0001). Conclusion: In liver transplant patients undergoing ERCP, male sex, prednisolone therapy, and complex bile duct interventions independently raised infection risks. Delayed antibiotic treatment further increased this risk. Patients with ITBL were notably susceptible due to incomplete drainage. Additionally, a history of post-ERCP infections signaled higher future risks, necessitating close monitoring and timely antibiotic prophylaxis.

Predictive value of the prognostic nutritional index combined with serum chloride levels for the prognosis of patients with acute decompensated heart failure.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and serum chloride level are related to adverse outcomes in patients with heart failure. However, little is known about the relationship between the PNI and serum chloride level in predicting the poor prognosis of patients with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF). METHODS AND RESULTS: We reviewed 1221 consecutive patients with ADHF admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University from January 2017 to October 2021. After excluding patients with in hospital death, missing follow-up data, missing chloride data, missing lymphocyte (LYM) count data, or missing serum albumin data, 805 patients were included. PNI was calculated using the formula: serum albumin (ALB) (g/L) + 5 × LYM count (10^9/L). Patients were divided into 4 groups according to the quartiles of the PNI, and the highest PNI quartile (PNI Q4: PNI ≥ 47.3) was set as the reference group. The patients in the lowest PNI quartile (PNI Q1: PNI < 40.8) had the lowest cumulative survival rate, and mortality risk decreased progressively through the quartiles (log-rank χ2 142.283, P < 0.0001). Patients with ADHF were divided into 8 groups by quartiles of PNI and median levels of serum chloride. After adjustment, the hazard ratio (HR) for all-cause mortality in ADHF patients in Group 1 was 8.7 times higher than that in the reference Group 8. Furthermore, the addition of serum chloride level and PNI quartile to the Cox model increased the area under the Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve by 0.05, and the area under the ROC curve of the new model was higher than that of the original model with traditional risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Both the lowest PNI quartiles and low chloride level indicate a higher risk of all-cause death in patients with ADHF.

Using liver stiffness to predict and monitor the risk of decompensation and mortality in patients with alcohol-related liver disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) is recommended for disease prognostication and monitoring. We evaluated if LSM, using transient elastography, and LSM changes predict decompensation and mortality in patients with alcohol-related liver disease (ALD). METHODS: We performed an observational cohort study of compensated patients at risk of ALD from Denmark and Austria. We evaluated the risk of decompensation and all-cause mortality, stratified for compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD: baseline LSM ≥10 kPa) and LSM changes after a median of 2 years. In patients with cACLD, we defined LSM changes as (A) LSM increase ≥20% ("cACLD increasers") and (B) follow-up LSM <10 kPa or <20 kPa with LSM decrease ≥20% ("cACLD decreasers"). In patients without cACLD, we defined follow-up LSM ≥10 kPa as an LSM increase ("No cACLD increasers"). The remaining patients were considered LSM stable. RESULTS: We followed 536 patients for 3,008 patient-years, median age 57 years (IQR 49-63), baseline LSM 8.1 kPa (IQR 4.9-21.7). 371 patients (69%) had follow-up LSM after a median of 25 months (IQR 17-38), 41 subsequently decompensated and 55 died. Of 125 with cACLD at baseline, 14% were "cACLD increasers" and 43% "cACLD decreasers", while 13% of patients without cACLD were "No cACLD increasers" (n = 33/246). Baseline LSM, follow-up LSM and LSM changes accurately predicted decompensation (C-index: baseline LSM 0.85; follow-up LSM 0.89; LSM changes 0.85) and mortality (C-index: baseline LSM 0.74; follow-up LSM 0.74; LSM changes 0.70). When compared to "cACLD decreasers", "cACLD increasers" had significantly lower decompensation-free survival and higher risks of decompensation (subdistribution hazard ratio 4.39, p = 0.004) and mortality (hazard ratio 3.22, p = 0.01). CONCLUSION: LSM by transient elastography predicts decompensation and all-cause mortality in patients with compensated ALD both at diagnosis and when used for monitoring. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Patients at risk of alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) are at significant risk of progressive disease and adverse outcomes. Monitoring is essential for optimal disease surveillance and patient guidance, but non-invasive monitoring tools are lacking. In this study we demonstrate that liver stiffness measurement (LSM), using transient elastography, and LSM changes after a median of 2 years, can predict decompensation and all-cause mortality in patients at risk of ALD with and without compensated advanced chronic liver disease. These findings are in line with results from non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, hepatitis C and primary sclerosing cholangitis, and support the clinical utility of LSM, using transient elastography, for disease prognostication and monitoring in chronic liver diseases including ALD, as recommended by the Baveno VII.

Red ginseng ameliorates lipotoxicity-induced renal fibrosis in hyperuricemia mice.

ETHNOPHARMACOLOGICAL RELEVANCE: Chronic kidney disease can be caused by numerous diseases including obesity and hyperuricemia (HUA). Obesity may exacerbate the renal injury caused by HUA. Red ginseng, a steamed products of Panax ginseng Meyer root, is known for its remarkable efficacy in improving metabolic syndrome, such as maintaining lipid metabolic balance. However, the role of red ginseng on hyperuricemia-induced renal injury in obese cases remains unclear. AIM OF THE STUDY: This study aimed to investigate the action of red ginseng extract (RGE) on lipotoxicity-induced renal injury in HUA mice. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A high-fat diet (HFD)-induced obesity model was employed to initially investigate the effects of RGE on body weight, TC, OGTT, renal lipid droplets, and renal function indices such as uric acid, creatinine, and urea nitrogen. Renal structural improvement was demonstrated by H&E staining. Subsequently, an animal model combining obesity and HUA was established to further study the impact of RGE on OAT1 and ACC1 expression levels. The mechanisms underlying renal injury regulation by RGE were postulated on the basis of RNA sequencing, which was verified by immunohistochemical (including F4/80, Ki67, TGF-ß1, α-SMA, and E-cadherin), Masson, and Sirius red staining. RESULTS: RGE modulated HFD-induced weight gain, glucose metabolism, and abnormalities of uric acid, urea nitrogen, and creatinine. RGE alleviated the more severe renal histopathological changes induced by obesity combined with HUA, with down-regulated the protein levels of ACC1, F4/80, Ki67, TGF-ß1, and α-SMA, and up-regulated OAT1 and E-cadherin. CONCLUSIONS: RGE has ameliorative effects on chronic kidney disease caused by obesity combined with HUA by maintaining lipid balance and reducing renal inflammation and fibrosis.

Stage of fibrosis is not a predictive determinant of weight loss in patients undergoing bariatric surgery.

BACKGROUND: Obesity and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are an increasing health care burden worldwide. Weight loss is currently the best option to alleviate NAFLD and is efficiently achieved by bariatric surgery. Presence of NAFLD seems to be predictive for postoperative weight loss. To date, only few predictive factors for postbariatric weight loss (age, diabetes, psychiatric disorders) are established. OBJECTIVES: Since liver fibrosis is the pathogenic driver for the progression of liver disease, we investigated its role in predicting postoperative weight loss. This study focuses on the correlation between fibrosis stage and weight loss. SETTING: University and university-affiliated cooperation, Germany. METHODS: We used a prospective, single-center cohort study including 164 patients who underwent bariatric surgery with simultaneous liver biopsies. Liver fibrosis was determined histologically according to Kleiner score and noninvasively by APRI and FIB-4 score. Percentage of total body weight loss was calculated at 1-year follow up visit. RESULTS: Thirty-two patients were found without fibrosis, whereas 91 patients showed mild fibrosis (F1), 37 significant fibrosis (F2), and only 4 patients presented advanced fibrosis (F3) at the time of bariatric surgery. Weight loss was similar across different degrees of fibrosis stage. Accordingly, linear regression analysis did not identify predictors of weight loss among fibrosis scores. In multivariable analysis, age and presence of diabetes showed the strongest predictive value. CONCLUSIONS: Baseline presence of fibrosis was not associated with postoperative weight loss, while age and diabetes were independent predictors of weight loss. Bariatric surgery should be applied independently of the fibrosis stage.

Folate-Targeted Nanocarriers Co-Deliver Ganciclovir and miR-34a-5p for Combined Anti-KSHV Therapy.

Kaposi's sarcoma-associated herpesvirus (KSHV) can cause a variety of malignancies. Ganciclovir (GCV) is one of the most efficient drugs against KSHV, but its non-specificity can cause other side effects in patients. Nucleic acid miR-34a-5p can inhibit the transcription of KSHV RNA and has great potential in anti-KSHV therapy, but there are still problems such as easy degradation and low delivery efficiency. Here, we constructed a co-loaded dual-drug nanocomplex (GCV@ZIF-8/PEI-FA+miR-34a-5p) that contains GCV internally and adsorbs miR-34a-5p externally. The folic acid (FA)-coupled polyethyleneimine (PEI) coating layer (PEI-FA) was shown to increase the cellular uptake of the nanocomplex, which is conducive to the enrichment of drugs at the KSHV infection site. GCV and miR-34a-5p are released at the site of the KSHV infection through the acid hydrolysis characteristics of ZIF-8 and the "proton sponge effect" of PEI. The co-loaded dual-drug nanocomplex not only inhibits the proliferation and migration of KSHV-positive cells but also decreases the mRNA expression level of KSHV lytic and latent genes. In conclusion, this co-loaded dual-drug nanocomplex may provide an attractive strategy for antiviral drug delivery and anti-KSHV therapy.

Effects of Seipin on Mouse Mesenchymal Stem Cell Osteo-Adipogenic Balance.

Seipin deficiency is an important cause of type 2 Berardinelli-Seip congenital dyslipidemia (BSCL2). BSCL2 is a severe lipodystrophy syndrome with lack of adipose tissue, hepatic steatosis, insulin resistance, and normal or higher bone mineral density. Bone marrow mesenchymal stem cells (BMSCs) are believed to maintain bone and fat homeostasis by differentiating into osteoblasts and adipocytes. We aimed to explore the role of seipin in the osteogenic/adipogenic differentiation balance of BMSCs. Seipin loxP/loxP mice are used to explore metabolic disorders caused by seipin gene mutations. Compared with wild-type mice, subcutaneous fat deficiency and ectopic fat accumulation were higher in seipin knockout mice. Microcomputed tomography of the tibia revealed the increased bone content in seipin knockout mice. We generated seipin-deficient BMSCs in vitro and revealed that lipogenic genes are downregulated and osteogenic genes are upregulated in seipin-deficient BMSCs. In addition, peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor gamma (PPARγ) signaling is reduced in seipin-deficient BMSCs, while using the PPARγ activator increased the lipogenic differentiation and decreased osteogenic differentiation of seipin-deficient BMSCs. Our findings indicated that bone and lipid metabolism can be regulated by seipin through modulating the differentiation of mesenchymal stem cells. Thus, a new insight of seipin mutations in lipid metabolism disorders was revealed, providing a prospective strategy for MSC transplantation-based treatment of BSCL2.

Terlipressin therapy is associated with increased risk of colonisation with multidrug-resistant bacteria in patients with decompensated cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Patients with cirrhosis are susceptible to develop bacterial infections that trigger acute decompensation (AD) and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). Infections with multidrug-resistant organisms (MDRO) are associated with deleterious outcome. MDRO colonisation frequently proceeds MDRO infections and antibiotic therapy has been associated with MDRO colonisation. AIM: The aim of the study was to assess the influence of non-antibiotic medication contributing to MDRO colonisation. METHODS: Three hundred twenty-four patients with AD and ACLF admitted to the ICU of Frankfurt University Hospital with MDRO screening were included. Regression models were performed to identify drugs associated with MDRO colonisation. Another cohort (n = 129) from Barcelona was included to validate. A third multi-centre cohort (n = 203) with metagenomic sequencing data of stool was included to detect antibiotic resistance genes. RESULTS: A total of 97 patients (30%) were identified to have MDRO colonisation and 35 of them (11%) developed MDRO infection. Patients with MDRO colonisation had significantly higher risk of MDRO infection than those without (p = 0.0098). Apart from antibiotic therapy (odds ratio (OR) 2.91, 95%-confidence interval (CI) 1.82-4.93, p < 0.0001), terlipressin therapy in the previous 14 days was the only independent covariate associated with MDRO colonisation in both cohorts, the overall (OR 9.47, 95%-CI 2.96-30.23, p < 0.0001) and after propensity score matching (OR 5.30, 95%-CI 1.22-23.03, p = 0.011). In the second cohort, prior terlipressin therapy was a risk factor for MDRO colonisation (OR 2.49, 95% CI 0.911-6.823, p = 0.075) and associated with risk of MDRO infection during follow-up (p = 0.017). The validation cohort demonstrated that antibiotic inactivation genes were significantly associated with terlipressin administration (p = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Our study reports an increased risk of MDRO colonisation in patients with AD or ACLF, who recently received terlipressin therapy, while other commonly prescribed non-antibiotic co-medications had negligible influence. Future prospective trials are needed to confirm these results.

Predictive value of the HB/RDW ratio for the risk of all-cause death in patients with heart failure with different ejection fractions.

INTRODUCTION: The prognostic value of the ratio of haemoglobin to red cell distribution width (HRR) in different types of heart failure (HF) is not well known. METHOD AND RESULTS: We analysed the long-term prognostic value of HRR in patients with HF using the Cox proportional risk model and Kaplan‒Meier method. We reviewed consecutive 972 HF patients. The overall mortality rate was 45.68%. Mortality was 52.22% in the HFrEF group and 40.99% in the HFpEF+HFmrEF group. Cox regression showed that when HRR increased by 1 unit, the risk of all-cause death in all HF patients decreased by 22.8% (HR: 0.772, 95% CI (0.724, 0.823, p<0.001), in the HFpEF+HFmrEF group it decreased by 15.5% (HR: 0.845, 95% CI (0.774, 0.923), p<0.001), and in the HFrEF group it decreased by 36.1% (HR: 0.639, 95% CI (0.576, 0.709), p<0.0001). Subgroup analysis showed that there were interactions between the EF and HRR groups. The group in which HRR best predicted all-cause death from HF was Group 1 (EF<40%, HRR<9.45), followed by Group 2 (EF<40%, HRR≥9.45) and Group 3 (EF≥40%, HRR<9.45). HRR had no predictive value in Group 4 (EF≥40%, HRR≥9.45). CONCLUSION: HRR is an important predictor of all-cause mortality in patients with HF, especially HFrEF. There is an interaction between HRR group and LVEF group.

An Essential Role of c-Fos in Notch1-mediated Promotion of Proliferation of KSHV-Infected SH-SY5Y Cells.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to investigate the influence of Notch1 on c-Fos and the effect of c-Fos on the proliferation of Kaposi's sarcoma-associated herpesvirus (KSHV)-infected neuronal cells. METHODS: Real-time PCR and western blotting were used to determine c-Fos expression levels in KSHV-infected (SK-RG) and uninfected SH-SY5Y cells. C-Fos levels were measured again in SK-RG cells with or without Notch1 knockdown. Next, we measured c-Fos and p-c-Fos concentrations after treatment with the Notch1 γ-secretase inhibitor LY-411575 and the Notch1 activator Jagged-1. MTT and Ki-67 staining were used to evaluate the proliferation ability of cells after c-Fos levels downregulation. CyclinD1, CDK6, and CDK4 expression levels and cell cycle were analyzed by western blotting and flow cytometry, respectively. After the c-Fos intervention, the KSHV copy number and gene expression of RTA, LANA and K8.1 were analyzed by real-time TaqMan PCR. RESULTS: C-Fos was up-regulated in KSHV-infected SK-RG cells. However, the siRNA-mediated knockdown of Notch1 resulted in a significant decrease in the levels of c-Fos and p-c-Fos (P <0.01, P <0.001). Additionally, a decrease in Cyclin D1, CDK6, and CDK4 was also detected. The Notch1 inhibitor LY-411575 showed the potential to down-regulate the levels of c-Fos and p-c-Fos, which was consistent with Notch1 knockdown group (P <0.01), whereas the expression and phosphorylation of c-Fos were remarkably up-regulated by treatment of Notch1 activator Jagged-1 (P <0.05). In addition, our data obtained by MTT and Ki-67 staining revealed that the c-Fos down-regulation led to a significant reduction in cell viability and proliferation of the SK-RG cells (P <0.001). Moreover, FACS analysis showed that the cell cycle was arrested in the G0/G1 stage, and the expressions of Cyclin D1, CDK6, and CDK4 were down-regulated in the c-Fos-knockdown SK-RG cells (P <0.05). Reduction in total KSHV copy number and expressions of viral genes (RTA, LANA and K8.1) were also detected in c-Fos down-regulated SK-RG cells (P <0.05). CONCLUSION: Our findings strongly indicate that c-Fos plays a crucial role in the promotion of cell proliferation through Notch1 signaling in KSHV-infected cells. Furthermore, our results suggest that the inhibition of expression of key viral pathogenic proteins is likely involved in this process.

Clinical prognostic impact of C-NLR in heart failure patients with different ejection fractions: a retrospective study.

OBJECTION: Inflammatory conditions and immune disorders may worsen the prognosis of chronic heart failure (CHF) patients. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of a new indicator, C-NLR, composed of C-reactive protein (CRP) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), for the risk of all-cause mortality in HF patients with different ejection fractions. METHODS: A total of 1221 CHF patients admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University from January 2017 to October 2021 were enrolled in this study. All patients were divided into 2 groups according to the median C-NLR. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to compare the all-cause mortality among CHF patients with different ejection fractions. Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to evaluate the relationships between variables and mortality. The predictive value of the C-NLR was assessed by using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses. RESULTS: We collected data from 1192 patients with CHF. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed that patients with low LCR levels had better overall survival (OS). After multivariate adjustment Cox proportional hazards analysis, the level of C-NLR was still independently related to mortality. CONCLUSIONS: C-NLR was a competent independent predictor in HF with different ejection fractions, and routine measurement of C-NLR would help clinical doctors identify patients with a poor prognosis.

The clinical courses of HBV-related acute-on-chronic liver failure and a multi-state model to predict disease evolution.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a highly dynamic syndrome. The objective of this study was to delineate the clinical course of patients with HBV-ACLF and to develop a model to estimate the temporal evolution of disease severity. METHODS: We enrolled eligible patients from 2 large, multicenter prospective cohorts. The ACLF grade, organ failures, and outcomes were assessed at multiple time points (days 1/4/7/14/21/28). Probabilities for ACLF transitions between these disease states and to death within 28 days were calculated using a multi-state model that used baseline information and updated ACLF status. The model was validated in independent patients. RESULTS: Among all the 445 patients with HBV-ACLF, 76 represented disease progression, 195 had a stable or fluctuating course, 8 with improvement, and the remaining 166 with resolution within 28-day follow-up. New coagulation (63.64%) or renal failure (45.45%) was frequently observed during early progression. Patients with disease progression had a higher incidence of new episodes of ascites [10 (13.16%) vs. 22 (5.96%), p = 0.027] and HE [13(17.11%) vs. 21 (5.69%), p = 0.001], and a significant increase in white blood cell count. The multi-state model represented dynamic areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves ranging from 0.71 to 0.84 for predicting all ACLF states and death at 4, 7, 14, 21, and 28 days post-enrollment and from 0.73 to 0.94 for predicting death alone, performing better than traditional prognostic scores. CONCLUSIONS: HBV-ACLF is a highly dynamic syndrome with reversibility. The multi-state model is a tool to estimate the temporal evolution of disease severity, which may inform clinical decisions on treatment.

Prognostic value of the fibrinogen-to-albumin ratio (FAR) in patients with chronic heart failure across the different ejection fraction spectrum.

The ratio of fibrinogen to albumin (FAR) is considered a new inflammatory biomarker and a predictor of cardiovascular disease risk. However, its prognostic value for patients with chronic heart failure (CHF) with different ejection fractions (EFs) remains unclear. A total of 916 hospitalized patients with CHF from January 2017 to October 2021 in the First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University were included in the study. Death occurred in 417 (45.5%) patients out of 916 patients during a median follow-up time of 750 days. Among these patients, 381 patients suffered from HFrEF (LVEF <40%) and 535 patients suffered from HFpEF or HFmrEF (HFpEF plus HFmrEF, LVEF ≥ 40%). Patients were categorized into high-level FAR (FAR-H) and low-level FAR (FAR-L) groups based on the optimal cut-off value of FAR (9.06) obtained from receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Upon analysing the Kaplan - Meier plots, the incidence of death was significantly higher in all patients with FAR-H and patients in both HF subgroups (p < 0.001). The multivariate Cox proportional hazard analyses indicated that the FAR was an independent predictor of all-cause mortality, regardless of heart failure subtype. (HR 1.115, 95% CI 1.089-1.142, p < 0.001; HFpEF plus HFmrEF, HR 1.109, 95% CI 1.074-1.146, p < 0.0001; HFrEF, HR 1.138, 95% CI 1.094-1.183, p < 0.0001) The optimal cut-off value of FAR in predicting all-cause mortality was 9.06 with an area under the curve value of 0.720 (95% CI: 0.687-0.753, p < 0.001), a sensitivity of 68.8% and a specificity of 65.6%. After adjusting for the traditional indicators (LVEF, Lg BNP, etc.), the new model with the FAR had better prediction ability in patients with CHF. Elevated FAR is an independent predictor of death in CHF and is not related to the HF subtype.

Abnormal p16 expression and prognostic significance in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to analyze p16 expression status and evaluate whether abnormal p16 expression was associated with prognosis in a large-scale esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) cohort of patients. METHODS: We retrospectively evaluated p16 expression status of 525 ESCC samples using immunohistochemistry. Associations between abnormal p16 expression and survival were analyzed. RESULTS: P16 negative, focal expression and overexpression were found in 87.6%, 6.9% and 5.5% of ESCC patients. No significant association was observed between abnormal p16 expression and age, sex, tumor site and location, differentiation, vessel and nerve invasion, T stage and lymph node metastasis. In all patients, the survival of p16 focal expression group tended to be better compared with negative group (disease free survival/DFS P=0.040 and overall survival/OS P=0.052) and overexpression group (DFS P=0.201 and OS P=0.258), and there was no survival difference between negative group and overexpression group. The multivariate analysis for OS and DFS found that only clinical stage was a significantly independent prognostic factor (P<0.001). When patients were divided into I-II stage (n=290) and III-IVa stage (n=235), the survival of focal expression group was better compared with negative group (DFS P=0.015 and OS P=0.019), and tended to be better compared with overexpression group (DFS P=0.405 and OS P=0.432) in I-II stage ESCC, which was not found in III-IVa stage ESCC. CONCLUSION: P16 overexpression or negative expression tend to be associated with unfavorable outcomes, especially in I-II stage ESCC. Our study will help to identify a subgroup of ESCC patients with excellent prognosis after surgical therapy.

Chitosan-coated artesunate protects against ulcerative colitis via STAT6-mediated macrophage M2 polarization and intestinal barrier protection.

Oral delivery of chitosan-coated artesunate (CPA) has been proven to be effective at preventing ulcerative colitis (UC) in mice. However, the anti-inflammatory mechanism is not fully understood. STAT6 is a key transcription factor that promotes anti-inflammatory effects by inducing M2 and Th2 dominant phenotypes, therefore we hypothesized STAT6 might play a key role in the process. To prove it, a STAT6 gene knockout macrophage cell line (STAT6-/- RAW264.7, by CRISPR/Cas9 method), and its corresponding Caco-2/RAW264.7 co-culture system combined with the STAT6 inhibitor (AS1517499, AS) in a mouse UC model were established and studied. The results showed that CPA remarkably suppressed the activation of TLR-4/NF-κB pathway and the mRNA levels of proinflammatory cytokines, while increased the IL-10 levels in RAW264.7. This effect of CPA contributed to the protection of the ZO-1 in Caco-2 which was disrupted upon the stimulation to macrophages. Simultaneously, CPA reduced the expression of CD86 but increase the expression of CD206 and p-STAT6 in LPS-stimulated RAW264.7 cells. However, above alterations were not obvious as in STAT6-/- RAW264.7 and its co-culture system, suggesting STAT6 plays a key role. Furthermore, CPA treatment significantly inhibited TLR-4/NF-κB activation, intestinal macrophage M1 polarization and mucosal barrier injury induced by DSS while promoted STAT6 phosphorylation in the UC mouse model, but this effect was also prominently counteracted by AS. Therefore, our data indicate that STAT6 is a major regulator in the balance of M1/M2 polarization, intestinal barrier integrity and then anti-colitis effects of CPA. These findings broaden our understanding of how CPA fights against UC and imply an alternative treatment strategy for UC via this pathway.

Interpretable prediction of 3-year all-cause mortality in patients with chronic heart failure based on machine learning.

BACKGROUND: The goal of this study was to assess the effectiveness of machine learning models and create an interpretable machine learning model that adequately explained 3-year all-cause mortality in patients with chronic heart failure. METHODS: The data in this paper were selected from patients with chronic heart failure who were hospitalized at the First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, from 2017 to 2019 with cardiac function class III-IV. The dataset was explored using six different machine learning models, including logistic regression, naive Bayes, random forest classifier, extreme gradient boost, K-nearest neighbor, and decision tree. Finally, interpretable methods based on machine learning, such as SHAP value, permutation importance, and partial dependence plots, were used to estimate the 3-year all-cause mortality risk and produce individual interpretations of the model's conclusions. RESULT: In this paper, random forest was identified as the optimal aools lgorithm for this dataset. We also incorporated relevant machine learning interpretable tand techniques to improve disease prognosis, including permutation importance, PDP plots and SHAP values for analysis. From this study, we can see that the number of hospitalizations, age, glomerular filtration rate, BNP, NYHA cardiac function classification, lymphocyte absolute value, serum albumin, hemoglobin, total cholesterol, pulmonary artery systolic pressure and so on were important for providing an optimal risk assessment and were important predictive factors of chronic heart failure. CONCLUSION: The machine learning-based cardiovascular risk models could be used to accurately assess and stratify the 3-year risk of all-cause mortality among CHF patients. Machine learning in combination with permutation importance, PDP plots, and the SHAP value could offer a clear explanation of individual risk prediction and give doctors an intuitive knowledge of the functions of important model components.

Advanced lung cancer inflammation index combined with geriatric nutritional risk index predict all-cause mortality in heart failure patients.

BACKGROUND: This study was undertaken to explore the predictive value of the advanced lung cancer inflammation index (ALI) combined with the geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) for all-cause mortality in patients with heart failure (HF). METHODS AND RESULTS: We enrolled 1123 patients with HF admitted to our cardiology department from January 2017 to October 2021. Patients were divided into four groups, according to the median ALI and GNRI. From the analysis of the relationship between the ALI and GNRI, we concluded that there was a mild positive linear correlation (r = 0.348, p < 0.001) and no interaction (p = 0.140) between the ALI and GNRI. Kaplan‒Meier analysis showed that the cumulative incidence of all-cause mortality in patients with HF was highest in Group 1 (log-rank χ2 126.244, p < 0.001). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis revealed that ALI and GNRI were independent predictors of all-cause mortality in HF patients (ALI: HR 0.407, 95% CI 0.296-0.560, p < 0.001; GNRI: HR 0.967, 95% CI 0.954-0.980, p < 0.001). The area under the curve (AUC) for ALI combined with GNRI was 0.711 (p < 0.001), according to the time-dependent ROC curve. CONCLUSION: ALI and GNRI were independent predictors of all-cause mortality in HF patients. Patients with HF had the highest risk of all-cause mortality when the ALI was < 24.60 and the GNRI was < 94.41. ALI combined with the GNRI has good predictive value for the prognosis of HF patients.

Elevated Liver Fibrosis Progression in Isolated PSC Patients and Increased Malignancy Risk in a PSC-IBD Cohort: A Retrospective Study.

Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is a chronic cholestatic liver disease often associated with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), particularly ulcerative colitis (CU), and rarely with Crohn's disease (CD). Various long-term analyses show different rates of cancer and the need for orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) in patients with isolated PSC and with concomitant IBD, respectively. However, data on the detailed course of PSC with or without IBD are limited. We aimed to analyze the clinical disease course of PSC patients without IBD compared to PSC patients with UC and CD, respectively. A retrospective data analysis of patients with isolated PSC (n = 41) and of patients with concomitant IBD (n = 115) was performed. In detail, PSC disease characteristics including occurrence of dominant stenoses, liver cirrhosis, OLT and malignancy, as well as the temporal course of PSC activity and disease progression, were analyzed. A multivariable Cox regression model and a Fine-Gray competing risk model were further used for the independent risk factor analysis of cirrhosis development and OLT. Patients with isolated PSC were significantly older at first diagnosis than patients with PSC-IBD (39 vs. 28 years, p = 0.02). A detailed analysis of the course of PSC revealed a faster PSC progression after initial diagnosis in isolated PSC patients compared to PSC-IBD including significantly earlier diagnosis of dominant stenoses (29 vs. 74 months, p = 0.021) and faster progression to liver cirrhosis (38 vs. 103 months, p = 0.027). Patients with isolated PSC have a higher risk of developing cirrhosis than patients with PSC-IBD (Gray's test p = 0.03). OLT was more frequently performed in male patients with isolated PSC compared to males with coincident IBD (48% (n = 13) vs. 33% (n = 25), p = 0.003). Colorectal carcinoma was significantly more often diagnosed in patients with PSC-IBD than in isolated PSC (8.7% vs. 0%, p = 0.042). Patients with isolated PSC seem to have a different clinical course of disease than PSC patients with concomitant IBD characterized by a more pro-fibrotic disease course with earlier onset of liver cirrhosis and dominant stenosis but with less malignancy. These data may be interpreted as either a more progressive disease course of isolated PSC or a later diagnosis of the disease at an advanced disease stage. The different clinical courses of PSC and the underlying mechanisms of the gut-liver axis need further attention.

Molecular Detection of FGFR2 Rearrangements in Resected Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinomas: FISH Could Be An Ideal Method in Patients with Histological Small Duct Subtype.

Background and Aims: Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) is a subtype of primary liver cancer for which effective therapeutic agents are lacking. Fibroblast growth factor receptor 2 (FGFR2) has become a promising therapeutic target in ICC; however, its incidence and optimum testing method have not been fully assessed. This study investigated the rearrangement of FGFR2 in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma using multiple molecular detection methods. Methods: The samples and clinical data of 167 patients who underwent surgical resection of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma in Zhongshan hospital, Fudan university were collected. The presence of FGFR2 gene rearrangement was confirmed using fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) and targeted next-generation sequencing (NGS). FGFR2 protein expression was determined using immunohistochemistry (IHC). The concordance between the methods was statistically compared. PD-L1 expression was also assessed in this cohort. The clinicopathological characteristics and genomic profile related to FGFR2 rearrangements were also analyzed to assist candidate-screening for targeted therapies. Results: FGFR2 rearrangement was detected in 21 of the 167 ICC cases (12.5%) using FISH. NGS analysis revealed that FGFR2 rearrangement was present in 16 of the 20 FISH-positive cases, which was consistent with the FISH results (kappa value=0.696, p<0.01). IHC showed that 80 of the 167 cases (48%) were positive for FGFR2 expression, which was discordant with both FISH and NGS results. By comparison, FGFR2-positivity tended to correlate with unique clinicopathological subgroups, featuring early clinical stage, histologically small duct subtype, and reduced mucus production (P<0.05), with improved overall survival (p<0.05). FGFR2-positivity was not associated with PD-L1 expression in ICCs. In genome research, we identified eight partner genes fused with FGFR2, among which FGFR2-BICC1 was the most common fusion type. BAP1, CDKN2A, and CDKN2B were the most common concomitant genetic alterations of FGFR2, whereas KRAS and IDH1 mutations were mutually exclusive to FGFR2 rearrangements. Conclusions: FISH achieved satisfactory concordance with NGS, has potential value for FGFR2 screening for targeted therapies. FGFR2 detection should be prioritized for unique clinical subgroups in ICC, which features a histological small duct subtype, early clinical stage, and reduced mucus production.

Use and outcome of TIPS in hospitalized patients in Germany: A Nationwide study (2007-2018).

BACKGROUND: The number of complications in patients admitted for cirrhosis has increased over time. Portal hypertension is the driver of many complications of cirrhosis. TIPS placement is the most effective treatment of portal hypertension. The aim of this study was to analyze the use and impact of TIPS placement in the last decade in a nationwide study in Germany. METHODS: We analyzed 14,598 admissions of patients for TIPS insertions in Germany from 2007 to 2018 using the DRG system, 12,877 out of 2,000,765 total admissions of patients with cirrhosis. All diagnoses and procedures were coded according to ICD-10-CM and OPS codes. The data were analyzed, focusing on the number of admissions and in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: The number of TIPS placements increased over the last decade. In-hospital mortality of cirrhotic patients with TIPS decreased when it was placed for severe bleeding (15.2% [TIPS] vs. 19.5% [endoscopy treatment]), ascites (8.7% [TIPS] vs. 14.4% [paracentesis]), and hepatorenal syndrome (HRS) (17.1% [TIPS] vs. 43.3% [no-TIPS]). In the case of bleeding, TIPS significantly decreased in-hospital mortality and also in ascites and HRS. During hospitalization, 22.6% admissions of patients with TIPS insertion showed HE. However, in-hospital mortality in patients admitted with HE grades 1 or 2 and TIPS was lower than in patients without TIPS. In the logistic regression, a higher HE grade(3 and 4), infection, and circulatory disease were found to be independently associated with in-hospital mortality in patients with TIPS insertion. CONCLUSION: Our nationwide study demonstrates that TIPS insertion is increasingly used in Germany. TIPS improves outcomes, especially in patients with ascites and HRS, regardless of lower HE grades, while higher HE grades, infection, and circulatory diseases seem to be associated with risk of in-hospital mortality.